Friday, September 30, 2005

Friday garden blogging

Season is getting later...


But lots of Sweet 100s left


Can anyone id this shrub? It's my favorite...

Last year the shrub in the second picture above was much farther along is its annual color change on approximately October 1. The comment has been heard around here that it just hasn't seemed like cold weather is coming yet. Okay, it's supposed to go down to about 37 F (3 C) tonight. But then we're supposed to get upper 60s and low 70s during the day and 40s at night for the next week.

Aside from yesterday's very strong 90 km/hr winds (more impressive in metric), the weather has been downright civilized. It better stay that way seeing how heating oil is pushing up towards $3.00 per US gallon. The Bangor Daily News headline this morning was ``Maine braces for fuel shortfall''.

Indonesia 1965: dying dangerously

40th anniversary of Cold War low-point today


One of Mel Gibson's better performances, but Oscar-winner Linda Hunt stole the show

If an American has any information about the history of Indonesia's obscene American-supported anti-communist massacres that began on September 30, 1965, it probably came from the 1982 Peter Weir film, The Year of Living Dangerously. This is a decent movie, but very much more of the history of US intervention in this region needs to be revealed.

On that date, right-wing, US-supported anti-communist forces within the Indonesian military jelled in response to killings alledged to have been committed at the hands of Indonesia's then-president, Sukarno. The actual events of September 30 are not entirely clear. But the purges and terror against popular communist sectors of Indonesian society that followed gathered quickly into one of the worst genocides of the twentieth century with on the order of one million dead.

Thursday on KPFA's Flashpoints program, Dennis Bernstein interviewed Sylvia Tiwon, UC Berkeley Professor about what happened in 1965. The grisly stories of ``rivers of blood'' are horrifying. And the approving support for the atrocities by the western media of the day... my God, makes me feel like O'Reilly, Hannity, and Limbaugh are pussy cats.

If you try to plow through this very dense piece recommended by Flashpoints, you will discover that the politics of the Stalinist Indonesian Communist Party (PKI) were complex and rife with sectarian struggle. Opportunity was ripe in 1965 for the CIA to take advantage of this discord and undermine its number one enemy--a highly popular anti-market model of development that threatened to flourish. The operation to end this threat was seen throughout the West as wildly successful. No one in America knew about or said boo if they did about one million deaths.

A perhaps more readable summary of the history may be found in this 1998 piece on Indonesia by Noam Chomsky, who over the years has written extensively on the subject. Here is an excerpt:

After the second world war, Indonesia had a prominent place in US efforts to construct an international political and economic order. Planning was careful and sophisticated; each region was assigned its proper role. The "main function" of Southeast Asia was to provide resources and raw materials to the industrial societies. Indonesia was the richest prize. In 1948 the influential planner George Kennan described "the problem of Indonesia" as "the most crucial issue of the moment in our struggle with the Kremlin" - that is, the struggle against independent nationalism, whatever the Kremlin role might be (in this case, very slight).

Kennan warned that a "communist" Indonesia would be an "infection" that "would sweep westward" through all of South Asia. The term "communism" is routinely used to cover any form of independent nationalism, and it is understood that "infections" spread not by conquest but by example.

"The problem of Indonesia" persisted. In 1958 US Secretary of State John Foster Dulles informed the National Security Council that Indonesia was one of three major world crises, along with Algeria and the Middle East. He emphasized that there was no Soviet role in any of these cases, with the "vociferous" agreement of President Eisenhower. The main problem in Indonesia was the Communist party (PKI), which was winning "widespread support not as a revolutionary party but as an organization defending the interests of the poor within the existing system," developing a "mass base among the peasantry" through its "vigor in defending the interests of the...poor [Harold Crouch, Army and Politics in Indonesia, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, 1978]".

The US embassy in Jakarta reported that it might not be possible to overcome the PKI "by ordinary democratic means", so that "elimination" by police and military might be undertaken. The Joint Chiefs of Staff urged that "action must be taken, including overt measures as required, to ensure either the success of the dissidents or the suppression of the pro-communist elements of the Sukarno government."

The "dissidents" were the leaders of a rebellion in the outer islands, the site of most of Indonesia’s oil and US investments. US support for the secessionist movement was "by far the largest, and to this day the least known, of the Eisenhower administration’s covert militarized interventions," two leading Southeast Asia specialists conclude in a revealing study [Audrey and George Kahin, Subversion as Foreign Policy, New Press, New York, 1995]. When the rebellion collapsed, after bringing down the last residue of parliamentary institutions, the US turned to other means to "eliminate" the country’s major political force.

That goal was achieved when Suharto took power in 1965, with Washington’s strong support and assistance. Army-led massacres wiped out the PKI and devastated its mass base in "one of the worst mass murders of the 20th century," comparable to the atrocities of Hitler, Stalin, and Mao, the CIA reported, judging "the Indonesian coup" to be "certainly one of the most significant events of the 20th century" [CIA, Directorate of Intelligence, "Intelligence report column, Indonesia, 1965, the coup that backfired", Washington, 1968]. Perhaps half a million or more were killed within a few months.
Suharto's tyranny--which created killing fields and mass graves exceeding those of Saddam Hussein by an order of magnitude--lasted for over 30 years. In that period, with Washington's approval, Suharto slaughtered with impunity in East Timor and elsewhere, only stopped and removed from power after the Asian market crisis and popular uprisings of 1998.

Thursday, September 29, 2005

PEAK OIL supporting links

Below are links to a selection of energy posts from Deep Blade Journal. Also included are some useful links to internet sources on peak oil and the politics of world energy resources recommended by Eric Olson during the Thursday program at the University of Maine, PEAK OIL: ARE ENERGY CRISES, MORE WARS, AND BREAKDOWN OF CAPITALISM COMING SOON?

At the top of this link list I want to put Daily Kos and European Tribune diarist Jerome a Paris, who I do recommend again in the list below. Jerome a Paris offers almost daily reports and analysis. TODAY PLEASE SEE HIS HURRICANE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT.

Selected Deep Blade Journal posts on energy and peak oil:

June 01, 2005: Headline: ``Permanent shortage of oil may loom''
This headline was over an AP release that graced page A6 of Tuesday's Bangor Daily News.

May 25, 2005: Protest crushed in Azerbaijan
Caspian oil pipeline unveiling...According to a piece at Ocnus.Net, US troops are already on the ground in Azerbaijan. And there are more to come, it's just a matter of when...

May 17, 2005: 500 killed by Uzbek regime
President Bush: ``All who live in tyranny and hopelessness can know: the United States will not ignore your oppression, or excuse your oppressors. When you stand for your liberty, we will stand with you.'' (January 20, 2005)

April 27, 2005: Bush uses deceit in energy message
President wrongly implies his legislation means the US will be able to forgo foreign oil; nuke proposals come on strong

April 26, 2005: The good news front on Saudi oil
Bush has a sitdown with Crown Prince Abdullah

April 23, 2005: $380 oil?
The fallacy here is that because the factor by which oil consumption tracks economic growth and the %-mix of primary energy sources in various sectors has changed over the years, ``oil is not as indispensable.''

April 19, 2005: Rumsfeld made hushed trip to Azerbaijan
It is about oil

March 17, 2005: Internal war for Iraq's oil
New Greg Palast story based in part on USAID Iraq contract language that Deep Blade Journal first cited 16 months ago.

March 12, 2005: OPEC minister repeats oil limit warning
Algerian minister echoes sentiment he expressed last August

February 24, 2005: Oil price trajectory
Hyperbolic price swings with huge upward bias portend threats to our future security....NOTE: This extensive item contains many references back to Deep Blade posts during 2004.

February 24, 2005: Worker rights in Iraq
A little known policy of the US occupation affirmed Saddam-era prohibitions on trade union organizing

Selected 2004 posts
Here is a list of Deep Blade Journal posts on oil, peak oil, and the failure of energy issues to make it into the presidential campaign from Fall 2004:

Campaigns fail on energy

Oil price rocket

World oil peak now?

Bush has post-oil-peak plan

Another day, another oil dollar

Veep debate lacked energy

Over pulling sour crude

BBC: "Something very odd has happened"

Finance ministers deeply rattled by oil situation: Oil dominates agenda at G7 meeting in Washington, DC; communiqué includes recommendation to conserve fuel

Posts in original blog, November 22, 2003 to May 1, 2004. Only some of the links within these posts will still work. Below are descriptions of a few of the many topics found there.

1 May 2004: Secure and Plentiful?
Discussion and sources on Saudi oil reserves

6 March 2004: Oil depletion a myth?
Peak oil skeptics

26 February 2004: New York Times highlights depletion of Saudi oil
Story on important event with Saudi Aramco officials and Matthew Simmons at CSIS.

1 February 2004: Bush insider issues wake-up calls on oil/gas depletion
Original Deep Blade post on Matthew Simmons

30 January 2004: Iraq casus belli, John Kerry, and the energy future
Senator John F. Kerry in his victory speech after the New Hampshire primary: ``Stand with us - and we will give America the security of energy independence, because our sons and daughters should never have to fight and die for Mideast oil.''

22 November 2003: Nuclear automobile is in President Bush's energy vision
The president's so-called Freedom CAR program to build hydrogen-fueled cars receives its full appropriation in the Energy Bill. But this begs the question - Where does the president think the hydrogen for these vehicles will come from ??? ... The answer to this question becomes crystal clear in the current version of the Energy Bill. The bill directs the Department of Energy (DOE) to build a new nuclear reactor in Idaho in order to develop an experimental hydrogen production process along with some other supposed environmental benefits. (Indeed, the Energy Bill finally passed this summer, loaded with special fossil energy subsidies, big utility benefits, AND that now $1.5 billion reactor.)

Here are a other excellent peak oil and energy analysis sites:

Association for the Study of Peak Oil&Gas (ASPO)
The essential peak oil site...Euopean scientists crying in the wilderness. The ``2004 Scenario'' graph comes from this site. The Newsletter (available here) is required monthly reading.

Matt Savinar: lifeaftertheoilcrash.net
This is a very self-assured peak oil site with a great deal of very good documentation. The notion that ``technology'' will not save us from the downward spiral of peak oil is elucidated here like nowhere else.

Oil Depletion Analysis Centre

BLOG: The Oil Drum
Vigorous ongoing discussion of oil resource models, industry politics, and everything else affecting world energy supplies -- frequented by industry insiders

KOS Diarist: Jerome a Paris
Absolutely my FAVORITE energy analyst on the internet. Jerome is an insider. He knows a great deal about energy economics and industry practices and is very willing to share. This is first-rate analysis delivered on a daily basis by Kos and also European Tribune. Especially see Jerome's series from last spring on Control of Oil.

See also Deep Blade Journal's HYDROCARBON link set well down on the left-side column.

Finally, this is just a very abbreviated selection of reports and major newspaper stories on oil that have appeared recently or in the last couple of years:

March 2004: PUBLIC CITIZEN report (pdf)
Mergers, Manipulation and Mirages: How Oil Companies Keep Gasoline Prices High, and Why the Energy Bill Doesn’t Help
Report on oil company monopoly practices

September 1, 2005: New Study Finds Oil Company Profiteering Behind Gasoline Price Spikes
Consumerwatchdog.org from California finds more monopoly practices.

Economist oil series

August 12, 2005: Oil Rises to Record $67.10
Nothing really special here, except that alarming stories similar to this are now in regular news on nearly a daily basis.

August 21, 2005: New York Times Magazine: The Breaking Point
Worry

August 20, 2005: New York Times: Editorial, The Oil Effect
``Just when it was starting to seem as if consumers were really shaking off high energy prices, Wal-Mart announced this week that its profits stumbled in the second quarter, rising at their slowest rate in four years. Forced to choose between their closets and their gasoline tanks, Americans unsurprisingly chose their tanks.''

July 15, 2005: BBC: How much oil do we really have?
"Oil market data is generally a black art like using a set of chicken bones," says Paul Horsnell of Barclays Capital. "If Columbus had thought he'd hit India when in fact he was in the Caribbean, that's about the level of oil market data."

July 31, 2005: It's Not the End Of the Oil Age
Technology and Higher Prices Drive a Supply Buildup; By Daniel Yergin, Washington Post
Don't worry... ``We're not running out of oil. Not yet.''

June 21, 2005: Oil & Liquids Capacity to Outstrip Demand Until At Least 2010: New CERA Report
CAMBRIDGE, Mass., ``Despite current fears that oil will soon `run out', global oil production capacity is actually set to increase dramatically over the rest of this decade, according to a new report by Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA). As a result, supply could exceed demand by as much as 6 to 7.5 million barrels per day (mbd) later in the decade, a marked contrast to the razor-sharp balance between strong demand growth and tight supply that is currently reflected in high oil prices hovering around $60 a barrel.''

August 2, 2005: Oil Depletion? It's All In The Assumptions
In Brief: Ron Cooke, author of 'Oil, Jihad and Destiny' examines Daniel Yergin's Cambridge Energy Research Associates(CERA) report 'Worldwide Liquids Capacity Outlook To 2010— Tight Supply Or Excess Of Riches' He shows that it is based on numerous assumptions that can not neccessarily be counted on in reality and contrasts CERA's view with a number of more skeptical opinions from within the industry....Good News: In good news for the SUV set, Daniel Yergin's Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA), is predicting we will soon be awash in light, sweet crude - ideal for making gasoline.

I'll end for now with these, as the last few of links illustrate the range of debate on world oil -- about which truly reliable data is sorely lacking...

Wednesday, September 28, 2005

It just gets worse...

Sadly, the most-read Deep Blade post of all time has been Domination by detention from last July. But I just have not followed up on this properly--especially given the recent news.

Fortunately Body & Soul has. Jeanne's post strikes just the sour note I have been feeling myself about all this. It seems so damn impossible that my country can be doing this, despite the fact that I have protested US torture policies and torture training schools for over twenty-five years. Will any amount of exposure and protest do any good? The Body & Soul post also draws the same line around the usefulness of the military JAG Corps in stopping this stuff that I did in Domination by detention--the JAGS have complained but after all seem to accept that the premises of the terror war include US presidential power to rip up the rules.

Curious how the media florish over the Lynndie England conviction came down right on top of the story about the letter Captain Ian Fishback wrote to Senator John McCain. The letter describes ongoing, unimaginable American atrocities against Iraqis.

US to leave Uzbekistan

Tashkent can't stand human rights critique

The always-valuable Rodger Payne notes a new development in US relations with the internal terror state of Uzbekistan:

Washington confirmed on Tuesday it would leave an Uzbek airbase. Tashkent asked it to quit after the United States criticized Uzbekistan's human rights record.
Evidently worked out by this disengagement is the hushed battle between the US Department of State and the Pentagon over the proper response to the May slaughter by US-trained Uzbek security forces of perhaps 500 unarmed protesters in the city of Andijan.

Tuesday, September 27, 2005

President gives energy assessment

And it's remarkably straightforward on the extent of hurricane damage to national fuel supplies

This doesn't sound like President Bush:

Two other points I want to make is, one, we can all pitch in by using -- by being better conservers of energy. I mean, people just need to recognize that the storms have caused disruption and that if they're able to maybe not drive when they -- on a trip that's not essential, that would helpful. The federal government can help, and I've directed the federal agencies nationwide -- and here's some ways we can help. We can curtail nonessential travel. If it makes sense for the citizen out there to curtail nonessential travel, it darn sure makes sense for federal employees. We can encourage employees to carpool or use mass transit. And we can shift peak electricity use to off-peak hours. There's ways for the federal government to lead when it comes to conservation. [emphasis added]
So ongoing concern into the future about hurricane-affected fuel supplies has brought the president to the podium to plead for conservation. This is serious. Of course, Mr. Bush did not let pass this opportunity to hawk nukes:
It is clear that when you're dependent upon natural gas and/or hydrocarbons to fuel your economy and that supply gets disrupted, we need alternative sources of energy. And that's why I believe so strongly in nuclear power. And so we've got a chance, once again, to assess where we are as a country when it comes to energy and do something about it. And I look forward to working with Congress to do just that.
I will surprise some people here by saying that my own thinking about nuclear electric generating plants has changed. I am not reflexively against building new ones, as the president has a point about hydrocarbon supply into the future. Even the most strident anti-nuclear activist should be able to see the level of distruption to the lives of everyone--environmentalists included--that would occur if deep, long-term fuel shortages set in. Now, I do not trust the people the Bush Administration has lined up to build new nukes for one second. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission is deeply compromised by the extraneous goal of ensuring profit-grubbing nuke builders like Entergy, Exelon, and General Electric get rich.

For more Deep Blade commentary on Bush nuclear policy please see this post.

Friday, September 23, 2005

Friday garden blogging

Drilled


Brassica oleracea var. botrytis

We had only two cauliflower plants this year. We ate one miniature one last night. Though small, it was very spicy. This plant is of fuller size, but it's been drilled by a slug or something.

Thursday, September 22, 2005

Thursday series peacecast

Peacecast: New Deep Blade feature

This post marks the very first installment of what I hope will become a regular feature. So I would like to announce that Deep Blade Journal will now include podcasts at a new domain address: http://peacecast.us

The first program included is Thursday's edition of the Fall 2005 Socialist and Marxist Lecture Series from the University of Maine in Orono, Maine:

THE ANTIWAR MOVEMENT: HISTORY, STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES, AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS (70 min; 16.1MB; 32kbps mp3); Speaker: Isaac Curtis, History, Ph.D. student, University of Pittsburgh and UMaine graduate and MPAC student activist. University of Maine philosophy professor Doug Allen introduces the speaker.

This program is very valuable, especially for students, and we're delighted Isaac was able to return to Orono to give it.

Friday, September 16, 2005

Friday garden blogging

Late summer


Can anyone id this?


Last broccoli spears

Update 9/23/2005: It's nearly a whole week since I took these. This tells you just how busy this semester is turning out to be. Three classes and two major projects going...

Sunday, September 11, 2005

911 Chain of Concern

Today on Rt 2 in Bangor...


Chained formed by over 100 people


Big message is that Bush's wars are a failure of Real Security


The flags each represent one dead US soldier in Iraq -- the line goes almost as far as the eye can see in both this and the other direction. We could add perhaps 50 more for each one of these in order to represent civilians now dead in the countries the US has invaded. The flags normally reside in front of an Orono residence. Last year I posted pictures -- unfortunately the death count has increased.

Is there any doubt that the wars President Bush has started over the last four years in response to 911 are an absolute failure of Real Security for both the citizens of the United States and those of the entire world? Bush is utterly incapable of accepting or even remotely understanding the non-war options post-911 that we in the peace movement have offered at every turn. And this is tragic, as the failure of security during the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina illustrates.

Bush offers no solutions except bombing, attacking, invading, conquering, occupying, looting, and controlling with a meddling hand the faux democracies he promotes for propaganda purposes -- along with the prodigious death that accompanies all of these things -- in Iraq, Afghanistan, Haiti, and elsewhere.

When real dangers from natural disasters to energy crises come to haunt us, Bush provides nothing -- except perhaps cronyism, contracting theft, and tax give-aways. And terrorism is hardly curtailed. What is next, I do not know, but it seems anti-US anger is at an all-time high worldwide. This is so unnecessary.

Yet, many Americans are still steeped in the false right of the American president to define the terms of international relations so that America can kill at the time and place of its choosing, for time immemorial, chalking it all up to permanent absolution granted us after the 911 attacks.

I was struck today when Bob Schieffer of CBS News (hardly the worst of the TV pundits) on his Face the Nation program said in his weekly commentary:

SCHIEFFER: In the midst of the disaster along the coast, let us pause now to remember what happened four years ago today when we were blindsided by a heartless enemy. We were attacked that day by terrorists willing to take the lives of innocent people to advance their cause, but that day we also saw what sets us apart from such an enemy. We saw Americans who were willing to risk and, in many cases, give their lives to save the innocent.
But have we not with our military might done heartlessly exactly what Bob Schieffer decries of the 911 terrorists? Isn't it the right to kill innocents -- collaterally or whatever -- precisely the right claimed by America and its war machine? And while President Bush cannot explain the ``cause'' advanced by prosecuting these wars, even to grieving Gold Star mothers, it sure seems like control of energy reserves and domination of the political crossroads of the world in the Middle East are in fact the bases of this cause.

We will never honor the dead of 911 and the service men and women called to sacrifice and unfortunately betrayal in Bush's wars -- or the tens of thousands of innocent civilians worldwide America has bombed out, killed, detained, and tortured in the last four years in the name of 911 -- until we take a good hard look in the mirror, declare that all this must stop, and that our guard & military must come home to protect us from the real threats we face.

The sooner the political environment changes enough to contain and stop the Bush Administration, the better. It is sad when the administration's strongest critics in recent weeks turn out to be Chuck Hagel and Susan Collins. Come on Democrats! Wake up and get tough with this monster!!

UK chancellor calls out non-OPEC oil producers

Gordon Brown: ``You need either to have an agreement on increased production capacity from the OPEC countries or we've got to provide increased production elsewhere''


But there's a problem... despite high prices, non-OPEC, non-former Soviet Union world oil production is past peak. (Graphic shows date of peak for each country, note US was 1971)

Sounds like the U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown is giving a verbal alert that the notion non-OPEC, non-former Soviet Union oil production is past peak must be tested. Has the failure of OPEC to deliver sufficient swing production after months of market tightness and the recent blow to US oil production from Hurricane Katrina created an emergency that is bigger than even release of contingency stockpiles around the world can handle? Time will tell.

Brown has been at the center of G7 deliberations on the world oil situation. Frustration with Russia and the OPEC countries has been evident for some time on the matter of ``transparency'' of oil reserves and field-by-field production data. Please see Deep Blade posts here and here for more details.

Meanwhile, Brown should probably explain further that precipitous decline in North Sea production rates has set in since 1999. Please see the ASPO Newsletter for August 2002 for an assessment of oil in the UK itself.

Friday, September 09, 2005

Friday garden blogging

Harvest continues







The salsa turned out great with these tomatoes.

Update Sunday 9/11: Please note that posting was delayed (for both this and the Michael Brown item) because of some sort of ``scheduled maintenance'' hiccup with Blogger Friday afternoon. This is the first chance I've had to reconstruct these posts and get them up.

Stick a fork in him

He's done


Ooops, FEMA director Michael Brown was just kicked off the Katrina response and sent back to Washington, but not demoted. At any rate, Brownie isn't ``doing a heck of a job'' any more.

Normally, the sort resume falsification alleged of Brown by Time Magazine would lead to immediate resignation. But let's not forget, this is the Bush Administration, where nobody ever does anything wrong. So Brown will be allowed to remain FEMA director, despite these stories.

Here is how Democracy Now! summarized the allegations:

According to Time Magazine, Brown may have fabricated parts of his resume. Brown claimed that he worked in Edmond Oklahoma as an assistant city manager with emergency services oversight." In fact he was an administrative assistant to the city manager. One city official said he was essentially an intern. Brown also claimed that he was once the Director of Christian nursing facility in Oklahoma. But an administrator at the facility told Time that Brown was "not a person that anyone here is familiar with." In addition Brown claims on his resume that he won a prize for being "Outstanding Political Science Professor" at Central State University. But according to an official at the school, Brown "wasn't a professor here, he was only a student." Time reports these revelations raise new questions about how rigorously the White House vetted Brown before putting him in charge of FEMA.
Can't we just get rid of this guy -- send him home to his ``stiff margarita'' -- for good? And let's not stop with Brown. Chertoff and the rest, including Bush, should get out of the way and truly out of office too, so we can start cleaning up their mess of failed cronyinsm, war, and death they've left for us.

Thursday, September 08, 2005

Katrina: basic facts and timelines

Bush spin of history already in full rotation

Shoot, nothing could be the fault of Bush. Here is a bit of the result of this spin I received in an email message today. It comes from a reactionary I know who shall remain nameless:

FYI the Huricane devisted [sic] over 90,000 square miles. Lets put that into perspective. There are 63,000 troops in the area, put one in each square mile and what do you have??? alot of area with no help in it yet. To request that the president quit over an act of nature is well..... your fucking off the wall. Put your money were your cheese dick mouth is...

1-800-HelpNow
To this I replied:
You basically miss the entire argument I make for Bush's lack of honor and why he should resign. Did you even actually read it? Clearly, nowhere does it argue that an act of nature should chase the president out of office -- it's for the stuff in his control that honor demands his resignation.

Read those refs. I give. This is a story of grievous presidential indifference, ignorance, and failure of leadership on the issues involved in real security. Okay, perspective --if there are only 63,000 troops, there needs to be 630,000 or more. The initial response was slow and too small in everyone's estimation, even in that of our own Republican senators. Maybe the thing will be gotten control of, but again, in the estimation of every sane observer, it didn't have to be as bad as it is if leadership in the face of voluminous warning -- both in the long term and in the immediate pre- and post-storm days -- had been different.

The act of nature was foreseeable, as you can find out by reading the links. The government itself has studied the issues for years, but the administration's response has been to cut funding and send the Louisiana Guard along with 1/2 of its equipment to Iraq -- a crime of staggering proportions as much against international law as it is against America's real security. That's impeachable. But I prefer to appeal to the president's own conception of honor. As I suspect, he doesn't have any.
Also in response, I asked that these extremely important and disturbing pre-Katrina facts from a Wall Street Journal report and discussed in a piece on Media Matters be considered:
The Journal article also noted the concerns voiced by Lt. Col. Pete Schneider of the Louisiana National Guard a month before Hurricane Katrina hit the Gulf Coast. In an August 1 interview with a New Orleans TV station, Schneider had worried that the National Guard equipment transferred to Iraq -- including high-water vehicles -- would be needed at home if a natural disaster struck:

``When members of the Louisiana National Guard left for Iraq in October, they took a lot [of] equipment with them. Dozens of high water vehicles, humvees, refuelers and generators are now abroad, and in the event of a major natural disaster that, could be a problem.

``The National Guard needs that equipment back home to support the homeland security mission,' said Lt. Colonel Pete Schneider with the LA National Guard.

``Col. Schneider says the state has enough equipment to get by, and if Louisiana were to get hit by a major hurricane, the neighboring states of Mississippi, Alabama and Florida have all agreed to help.''

According to a September 4 Washington Post article, the three neighboring states cited by Schneider were also hit by Katrina and therefore were too "overwhelmed" to provide such resources to Louisiana:

``State officials had planned to turn to neighboring states for help with troops, transportation and equipment in a major hurricane. But in Katrina's case, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida were also overwhelmed, said Denise Bottcher, a Blanco spokesman.''
Would all that stuff come in handy now? (See also the Phyllis Bennis interview from today's Democracy Now! on war-depleted disaster aid.)

There is much, much more just in the basic timeline record, and comparison with other US disaster responses -- particularly in Florida during the election year of 2004. Randi Rhodes on Air America has an excellent batch of links today. The extreme overpayments in the saturation response to those Florida hurricanes, particularly Frances, was not in many cases even related to hurricane damage!
Hurricane Frances hit South Florida Labor Day weekend [2004], 100 miles north of Miami-Dade County, but Sun-Sentinel reporters found that the federal government approved $28 million in storm claims there for new furniture and clothes and thousands of new televisions microwaves, refrigerators and other appliances. The Federal Emergency Management Agency paid for new cars, dental bills and a funeral even though the Medical Examiner recorded no deaths from Frances. In an ongoing series of reports, the newspaper also found FEMA inspectors were given only cursory training and attributed damage to tornadoes - there were none recorded in the county - and in six instances listed “ice/snow’’ as the cause. The reports have prompted calls for investigations by federal and state officials and the beginnings of an inquiry by the Inspector General for the Department of Homeland Security. [South Florida Sun-Sentinel]
Before the administration's rotating machine chops up all of history on this many-fold disaster, I implore readers to keep a firm grasp of what really happened and who knew what and when by reading

1. A timeline of government response to Hurricane Katrina;

2. Timeline of Hurricane Katrina from Wikipedia; and

3. Hurricane Katrina timeline

Gulf right of return

Bush matriarch: ``What I'm hearing which is sort of scary is that they want to stay [in Texas]''

As Froomkin points out, this is a modern ``let them eat cake'' moment.

Contrary to the classist perspective displayed by Mrs. Bush, it strikes me that what is really happenning is that the people displaced from New Orleans are beginning a life-long struggle for their right to return to their homes.

This bears careful watching. I don't know if some analysis heard recently on Pacifica Radio will turn out to be correct -- that the first moves in rebuilding New Orleans will be a massive takeover of poor neighborhoods for casinos, stadiums, malls, and upscale housing.

Is a historical parallel the Palestinian struggle for right of return to homes lost to Israeli occupation, as a peceptive listener comment broadcast today on the kpfa morning show (see time code 01:16:20 in the audio file) points out?

Monday, September 05, 2005

Gasoline volatility

How long will it take on the down side?


Up $0.50 or more last week following Katrina

Now that the volatile futures price for gasoline has dropped $0.84 from its peak last week given a mad global scramble to release emergency supplies, how long will the bad boys pictured above take to fall? It's always slower on the down side. Is profiteering involved?

The tenuous situation in world oil enables a great deal of profit taking on events. There are some years left where prices will fluctuate, with temporary price crashes even possible. Afterward, however, as world oil production clearly enters a permanent monotonic decline, the sky will be the limit on gasoline.

I just can't predict exactly when that time will come. However, seeing the current situation, I am reminded of the exchanges I had with the fine Middle East affairs blogger Juan Cole, who wrote in January 2004 that ``Petroleum costs around $25-$30 per barrel, and is likely to go on doing so for decades.''

Though I greatly respect Juan Cole, I doubted this at the time. Is it not clear, after the crude price has reached and maintained a level double Cole's thinking, that the world is not as awash in extra oil as many academics and financial analysts just a short time ago thought it was?

Call for Bush to resign

Honor requires nothing less

The game is over. President George W. Bush with his band of thieves and hacks should resign immediately so that the lost honor and confidence of this once-great nation can be restored. For the sake of our country, Bush just needs to realize that his utter failure of leadership -- his nakedness, revealed for all to see by the devastation of Hurricane Katrina and his lack of timely response -- demands nothing less than the immediate end to his administration.

Cheney should resign first, followed by appointment of a non-neocon Republican to the Vice Presidency. I don't care who this would be -- Hagel, McCain, or even Olympia Snowe would do -- just so it isn't one of the moraless Bush-oriented radical, warmaking, statist neocons in the mold of Cheney, Rumsfeld, and current supporting cast. Then that person would become president upon the resignation of Bush.

The building case against Bush due this hurricane -- all of the bad policy that preceded it, and the criminally slow reaction too it for days afterward -- should put the cap on an administration that has willfully steered this country and the world towards disaster and ruination. Blow after blow have come and continue to come. Next it will be an energy crisis. Then more war. Then another natural disaster for which we are left utterly unprepared by profligate wars and irresponsible tax giveaways to the president's rich friends.

The examples of cover-their-asses lying, spinning these lies, and covering up with phony photo ops have been rampant. I'll reference just one sample of the testimony here, the appearence of Jefferson Parish, LA president Aaron Broussard, interviewed by Tim Russert on Sunday's Meet the Press. If you have not heard this, go straight there and watch the video. It broke my heart in a thousand pieces. How could the Bush operation be so cruel?

Bush is utterly unprepared and uninformed about the issues that led to this tragedy. PBS Now had a pretty good explanation of the whole situation in South Louisiana in a report they originally broadcast three years ago. Go take a look at that and tell me that a president who now can say, ``I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees'' deserves to call himself commander-in-chief.

This administration is utterly lost in the face of a disaster where the enemy is bad policy. When nature applies its inevitable corrective, Bush is lost with nobody to bomb. Bombing normally is Bush's only solution. But all he's left with here is a desperate collection of black people who he has shown every willingness to shoot. Meanwhile, Hannity and O'Reilly fan racist flames with exaggerated, out-of-perspective orientation towards reporting ``looting'' (or, if the people are white, ``searching for food and water'').

Furthermore, I can't express the failure of Bush's national security state any better than Steve Gilliard, who writes:

Say 9/11 changed everything now, motherfuckers. Ooops, 9/11, 9/11. 9/11. Doesn't work anymore? Gee, maybe the sea of alligator MRE's [Meals Ready to Eat] once known as the citizens of New Orleans has something to do with that. Now you can shut the fuck up about 9/11. Bush just proved what would happen with another 9/11. Dead Americans as far as the nose can smell.
You'll just have to read this post for full effect. With total justification, Gilliard is on fire.

Of course I will not be holding my breath waiting for the president to resign. Likewise, I will not wait around for Mr. Bush to show me that there is one ounce of honor behind that smirky face.

Friday, September 02, 2005

Friday garden blogging

Weeds


This is what we get for 18 days of inattention

On the plus side, there was a nice basket of perfect ripe tomatoes waiting for us upon return from our midwest trip. But the weeds ran hellishly. I've gotten a lot of them out now, so it looks much better in there.

Thursday, September 01, 2005

Hurricane energy & economic impact

Please see Jerome a Paris for analysis


Natural gas price spike may portend trouble worse than the gasoline situation

Take a look at this post at Booman Tribune. Deep trouble from the Gulf states disaster is building on a whole range of energy and economic fronts. As usual, Jerome surveys the situation with clarity and intelligence.

I'll make just one comment: The natural gas situation could be very serious if during the cold months pipeline pressures drop and/or electricity production is ``California-ed'' in the manner of 2001. The latter problem would arise if power producers cannot collect enough from consumers to cover their gas bills -- noting that most new electric generation installed during the last 15 years has used ``clean'' natural gas.

Yikes.

On our vacation...

Family visits, rest, peace & quiet, vintage baseball, fireworks, festivals, and wonderful photography opportunities contrast with the weight of war and disaster of the last three weeks


1860-rules baseball game -- my old mates on the Bruno Volunteer Fire Department invite me to come back and play each year


Bottle gentian, a somewhat unusual wildflower seen August 27 in Banning State Park, Pine County Minnesota


South shore of Lake Superior last Sunday during ``magic hour''


Tiny remnant of Katrina greets us as we return home

Posting will resume now after our 18-day trip to Midwest. We really went on vacation. I got pretty much away from the computer for two weeks. This was very healthy. But the break was tempered by the weighty matters of the world that fell during this time.

Our problems and expenses seem tiny compared to the suffering due to the Gulf Coast hurricane. While for us gas pushed $4/gal in Canada, and broke $3/gal in some parts of Maine as we returned, an unimaginable tragedy unfolded for people 2500km to the south. I can't even find the words to express the horror and nightmare I know is happening.

The shockingly inadequate hurricane response of the Bush Administration is born of years of bad security priorities. Bush was three days late in declaring the mobilization he finally got around to calling for yesterday afternoon. A political hack heads the Federal Emergency Management Agency. And I think this remark Mr. Bush made in an interview today with Diane Sawyer of ABC News reveals the true concern for Real Security of the horrifically ignorant W:

I don't think anyone anticipated the breach of the levees.
Just last Sunday, the Washington Post carried a story saying exactly the opposite: ``Experts have warned for years that the levees and pumps that usually keep New Orleans dry have no chance against a direct hit by a Category 5 storm...''

Directly related to lack of Real Security on the homefront was the heart rending yet hopeful Crawford, Texas encampment led by Cindy Sheehan, made a Gold Star Mother by Bush's Iraq war. Does Camp Casey represent a sea change on Iraq? Time will tell if policy will be dislodged in any significant way. The thing that sickens me, however, is the utter lack of leadership from the Democratic Party. Hillary Clinton, for example, is nearly equivalent to Bush on these matters.

I'll close by mentioning that while in Askov, Minnesota. I had the opportunity to speak with both the brother and sister-in-law of Matt Lourey, a dedicated American serviceman killed in Iraq last May.

In closing, here are some remarks from Minnesota State Senator Becky Lourey, Matt's mom and now also a Gold Star Mother (who represented us well during the six years we lived in Minnesota), given in a Camp Casey interview. I saw this Democracy Now! interview over a friend's satellite dish while we were in Minnesota:
we'll stand behind Cindy. And I do believe that the dialogue can move this issue forward, because it seems to me that it's very, very wrong when a leader who makes life and death decisions is insulated from the people who suffer the consequences of those decisions.